2000 metre Australian race horse racing winners statistics 2011

Here are some interesting statistics that you may be able to profit from done on all 2000 metre races (TAB) held throughout Australia (all States and Territories).

They are provided for your interpretation and information and while we strive for 100% accuracy, no guarantees are made in regard to that. (In other words, we gave it our best shot!)

These profit and loss and % figures are for all 2000 metre races covered by the TAB run nation wide between January 1, 2011 and November 30, 2011 - 297 races.

Note: there obviously can be more than one qualifier per race but not necessarily any qualifiers per race.

1) Horses that started between 5 days ago and 7 days ago to "today's" race: won 33 or 19.0% of applicable races (341 qualifiers)

1b) Horses that started between 5 days ago and 14 days ago to "today's" race: won 189 or 63.9% of applicable races (1858 qualifiers)

1c) Horses that started between 5 days ago and 21 days ago to "today's" race: won 266 or 89.6% of applicable races (2683 qualifiers)

1d) Horses that started between 5 days ago and 28 days ago to "today's" race: won 287 or 96.6% of applicable races (2914 qualifiers)

2) Horses that were beaten by less than 1.1 lengths at their last start: won 92 or 35.2% of applicable races (697 qualifiers)

2a) Horses that were beaten by less than 2.1 lengths at their last start: won 132 or 47.0% of applicable races (1020 qualifiers)

2b) Horses that were beaten by less than 3.1 lengths at their last start: won 175 or 60.6% of applicable races (1347 qualifiers)

2c) Horses that were beaten by less than 4.1 lengths at their last start: won 205 or 69.3% of applicable races (1657 qualifiers)

2d) Horses that were beaten by less than 5.1 lengths at their last start: won 229 or 77.4% of applicable races (1935 qualifiers)

2e) Horses that were beaten by less than 6.1 lengths at their last start: won 248 or 83.5% of applicable races (2167 qualifiers)

3) Horses that were #1 of all runners by the average prizemoney index (career prizemoney / total starts): won 50 or 16.8% of applicable races

3a) Horses that were #1 or #2 of all runners by the average prizemoney index (career prizemoney / total starts): won 93 or 31.3% of applicable races

3b) Horses that were #1 through #3 of all runners by the average prizemoney index (career prizemoney / total starts): won 138 or 46.5% of applicable races

3c) Horses that were #1 through #4 of all runners by the average prizemoney index (career prizemoney / total starts): won 176 or 59.3% of applicable races

3d) Horses that were #1 through #5 of all runners by the average prizemoney index (career prizemoney / total starts): won 206 or 69.4% of applicable races

3e) Horses that were #1 through #6 of all runners by the average prizemoney index (career prizemoney / total starts): won 230 or 77.4% of applicable races
  

4) Horses that finished 1st at their last start: won 50 or 24.5% of applicable races (381 qualifiers)

4a) Horses that finished 1st or 2nd at their last start: won 101 or 38.1% of applicable races (732 qualifiers)

4b) Horses that finished 1st through 3rd at their last start: won 142 or 49.0% of applicable races (1090 qualifiers)

4c) Horses that finished 1st through 4th at their last start: won 191 or 64.5% of applicable races (1453 qualifiers)

4d) Horses that finished 1st through 5th at their last start: won 217 or 73.3% of applicable races (1768 qualifiers)

4e) Horses that finished 1st through 6th at their last start: won 235 or 79.4% of applicable races (2019 qualifiers)
    

5) Horses whose last start was within 50 metres (+or -) of the distance of "today's" 2000m race: won 62 races or 25.9% of applicable races (673 qualifiers)

5a) Horses whose last start was within 100 metres (+or -) of the distance of "today's" 2000m race: won 93 races or 33.6% of applicable races (940 qualifiers)

5b) Horses whose last start was within 150 metres (+or -) of the distance of "today's" 2000m race: won 105 races or 37.2% of applicable races (1058 qualifiers)

5c) Horses whose last start was within 200 metres (+or -) of the distance of "today's" 2000m race: won 143 races or 48.5% of applicable races (1509 qualifiers)

5d) Horses whose last start was within 250 metres (+or -) of the distance of "today's" 2000m race: won 150 races or 50.8% of applicable races (1556 qualifiers)

5e) Horses whose last start was within 300 metres (+or -) of the distance of "today's" 2000m race: won 166 races or 56.1% of applicable races (1760 qualifiers)

5f) Horses whose last start was within 350 metres (+or -) of the distance of "today's" 2000m race: won 173 races or 58.4% of applicable races (1811 qualifiers)

5g) Horses whose last start was within 400 metres (+or -) of the distance of "today's" 2000m race: won 267 races or 89.9% of applicable races (2696 qualifiers)


6) Horses who previously had won or been placed over 2000 metres: won 86 races or 36.9% of applicable races (lower % than most distances)

7) Horses who previously had won at the same course as today's race: won 96 races or 43.6% of applicable races

The figures above demonstrate the approach that most punters "adopt" as their form analysis. It shows why betting "with the herd" at level stakes is a recipe for fiscal disaster and why you probably have to adopt another approach to turn the tide in your favour rather than follow "traditional" wisdom. Either that or find the niche within the traditional approach that drops out a lot of the losing races and turns the odds in your favour.

The more sub rules you add in the fewer the number of overall bets which may cause consternation for those that crave that losing "excitement"!!

Unless of course you are using it as one of many simultaneously.

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