**Cascade 10
Staking Plan**

This WILL NOT turn a losing system in to a
winning one. It may turn a system that wins small amounts at level
stakes in to one that produces much better returns without all
the usual stress and tension that seems to be inbuilt in to other
staking plans – the stress and tension that psychologically
plays doubting mind games with you and makes you question your
own judgment. (Been there – done that – got bored
- left!)

Here is the basic WIN BETTING excel
sheet that we refer to throughout the explanation:

There is no expectation that you
will fully appreciate the nuances of this approach on first read
through.

The “break through moment”
for most will probably be when you understand the difference in
functions between column J, K and W – why they are different,
how they mathematically interact, and why that’s the safety
brake and the accelerator all in one!

It doesn’t matter how long
or how many reads it takes you to “get it” –
just as long as you do!

If I were trying to sum this up in
one sentence, I’d describe the whole plan as a system of
heavily modified all up (but it’s not!) win or place betting,
using a repeating series of ten races, with a 1% of bank approach
that almost guarantees rapid accumulation during “good trots”
and a safety brake approach that limits losses during a “bad
trot”. More precisely, it could be described as a series
of 10 race to race doubles, either betting for a win or a place
using one tenth of previous “base stake returns” as
a multiplier.

Ah, BS, you scream – can’t
be done.

THE SHEET SET UP:

**Columns A to I** are
pretty self explanatory – it’s information you have
to type in in sequential order to make things work on race days.
We ALWAYS type in the A to F columns in full the day before. This
stops you trying to type everything in as you go as that sort
of time taking process, if you try to do it on race days while
the action is taking place, almost certainly guarantees you will
“muck things up”.

**Columns H & I: **

Naturally can’t be filled in until the race is run and the
information can be inputted.

**Column J:**

This is where you work out your “base stake level”
– it is 1%, rounded DOWN, always rounded down, of the total
bank. However, it NEVER falls below your initial bet – ever
– even to the point of bankruptcy which would take a long
run of outs (100 to be precise) even from an initial starting
point – and if you are using a system that has runs of outs
of 100, what on earth are you doing?? So your base stake level
is always 1% of your total bank rounded DOWN.

For example, if you are looking at
the “Win” bets sheet, the base stake stayed at $10
until

line 25 when it went to $11 because line 24 pushed the bank up
to $1100.

Note that the “Base Stake At
1%” does reduce from time to time as the bank falls but
NEVER below your initial bet.

**Column K:** (Base
Stake Ret)

On the win betting spread sheet the
formula here at cell K3 is: =J3*H3

(This is then copied and pasted down the entire column K –
for users new to excel this automatically happens when you select
the cell then “Ctrl and C” then select the rest of
the column by dragging the mouse down it and using the “Ctrl
and V” function to paste it in.)

On the place betting spread sheet
the formula here at cell K3 is: =I3*H3

(This is then copied and pasted down the entire column K –
for users new to excel this automatically happens when you select
the cell then “Ctrl and C” then select the rest of
the column by dragging the mouse down it and using the “Ctrl
and V” function to paste it in.)

This is the gross base stake return
figure that is used to determine the exact return on the base
stake portion of your overall bet – and the amount to be
divided by ten and added to your next 10 bets to get the multiplier
effect.

Huh? Yes – I know – read
it again. This is the NUB of the system. Don’t go any further
until you fully understand this.

It is best explained at, say, line
27 on the Win bet sheet demo– where the bet was on Cat’s
Whisker. The base stake bet was $12 as the bank had moved to over
$1200 but the total bet on the horse was in fact $27.00. (As we
explain from here on in, the total bet was $27 because of the
cascading effect of previous winning bets trickling down at 10%)

This means (and here is the good
bit!) that while the total return on Cats Whisker was $262.80
(Col W multiplied by Col H) the amount re-invested on the next
10 selections was $87.60 (Col K) equally divided by 10 and added
to events at lines 28 though 37. So even if the next 10 had have
produced no winners the worst possible case scenario was that
Cats Whisker still added $175.20 to the overall bank.

Now go and make a cup of tea or coffee,
shake your head a few times, and then come back and read this
again.

Okay – still not quite clear? Well let’s start at
the start. If you’ve got the Win Bet spread sheet open the
first bet is at line 3 on a needy called Mine. It loses –
big deal – so do a lot of them! In fact we don’t strike
a winner till line 12 when Madame Pedrille salutes and pays $1.80.
(All bets stayed at $10 – remember – they never fall
below the starting bet but may reduce from time to time at other
points in accordance with the overall bank.)

So Madame Pedrille returns a gross
$18.00 in column K. This is then divided by 10 ($1.80) and placed
in the dbet1 column for each of the next ten races.

Ah, you say, where’s the safety
angle here? It’s just all up betting!

No – this only happens when you are starting a new bank
OR when you’ve had a run of outs of 11 or more that you
actually re-invest all of the profit from a winning selection.

The next winner comes up at line
15 when Hillbilly Dancer salutes and pays $5.30. Now, as you can
see from Column W, (which is always rounded UP), we actually had
$12 on it and the return to bank was $63.60.

We then looked at Column K and see
the base stake return was $53 so that gets dispersed at $5.30
for the next 10 bets and the bank net profits by $10 or thereabouts.

The next winner is at line 18 _ Pee
Eye Cee_ $4.30 where the total bet on it was 22.00 – returned
a gross $94.60 and only $43 was re-invested on the next ten selections
so a net $51 added to the overall bank.

Ah – “I’m getting
it” you say – great!

You see, really when you think about
it, this is a straight 1% of bank level stakes system with the
added benefit of a multiplier added for SOME of the winnings –
and the 1% rises and falls in accordance with the overall bank
as a safety brake.

And so it follows down the sheet – just one race after the
other – the same 1% of overall bank base stake plus part
winnings from the previous ten races – which in fact gives
you up to ten running doubles at any time for either win or place.

So the next ten columns (11 on the
place betting sheet) are simply the carry over amounts from winnings
which all get added to the “base stake at 1%” to make
up the total amount of the bet on each selection.

Now, the question on everyone’s
lips – why are there 11 dbet “carry over” columns
on the place betting sheet and only 10 on the win sheet? Simply
because it is very possible to have ten winning place bets in
a row and when that happens the carry down amounts tend to “crash”
over each other which makes it difficult to follow – getting
10 “winners” in a row is a once in a blue moon event!
(This is only a minor thing – worry about it when and if
it happens)

**Column V Win Betting Sheet:**

On the Win Betting Sheet the formula to be inserted at cell V3
is: =J3+L3+M3+N3+O3+P3+Q3+R3+S3+T3+U3

(Copy and paste as outlined above to all cells in this column)

**Column W Place betting Sheet:**

On the Place Betting Sheet the formula to be inserted at cell
WV3 is: =J3+L3+M3+N3+O3+P3+Q3+R3+S3+T3+U3+V3

(Copy and paste as outlined above to all cells in this column)

Why are these different? As explained
above

These columns then total up the totals of the “base Stake
at 1% of Bank” column and any carry down events from previous
winning selections.

These are rarely in exact amounts
ending in .00 or .50 cents so they need to be rounded UP in the
next column (W on the win betting sheets and X on the place betting
sheets) to arrive at your bet amount.

**Column W on the Win Betting
Sheet or Column X on the Place Betting Sheet:**

This is the amount rounded up from the previous column to arrive
at your bet amount for each race.

NOTE: This column is always rounded UP

**Column X **on the
Win Betting Sheet or Column Y on the Place Betting Sheet:

This is a running total of the bank
and where it stands after each race.

On the Win Betting sheet the formula to be inserted at cell X3
is:

=(X2-W3)+(W3*H3)

(Copy and paste as outlined above to all cells in this column)

What this does is calculates (the
bank minus the rounded up bet) and then adds (the rounded up bet
multiplied by the win dividend)

On the Place betting Sheet the formula
to be inserted at cell Y3 is:

=(Y2-X3)+(X3*I3)

(Copy and paste as outlined above to all cells in this column)

What this does is calculates (the
bank minus the rounded up bet) and then adds (the rounded up bet
multiplied by the place dividend)

So there it is – the why it
works and how it works for this staking system.

All TAB dividends are from a Victoria
TAB account.

Would it work even more successfully
on Betfair? Probably – depends how efficient you are at
getting set. Remember, with Betfair, there is always the risk
you won’t “get set” – with the TAB you
are always “on”.

You will note that because of the
greater number of dividends, the cascading effect of the place
bets is far more intense than on the win system. Bear that in
mind if you can’t deal emotionally with long runs of “outs”.

**N****o
staking plan can make up for plainly poor selections.**