Gambling
and discipline
For
people who are new to the idea of trying to win money
on horse racing, it may be worthwhile pausing for a moment
or two to consider exactly what your plan of attack may
be - and the discipline needed to carry it through to
a hopefully successful conclusion.
For
others that have been around the game for a while may
be also a worthwhile moment to make sure you have adopted
an approach that will stand the test of time.
In
my opinion, and bear in mind I am wrong more times than
I am right, you simply HAVE to know every bet you are
going to make for the day BEFORE the day even gets started.
A far wiser man than I once said "failing to plan
is simply planning to fail". This all comes to the
fore again after watching and listening to good old Sky
Channel yesterday afternoon and listening to the talking
head in the studio waxing lyrical about big jackpots coming
up on this weekend's Sydney racing on trifectas and first
fours. "Million dollar jackpots- great opportunity
- what a great giveaway by the TAB" etc etc etc.
Umm - no - they are not giving away anything. They are
merely redistributing other people's money after taking
their hefty chunk of the action.
The
people at Sky Channel are of course dependant on increasing
turnover to keep their well paid jobs bubbling along nicely
thank you. They NEED you to bet more than what you had
otherwise planned to so that turnover / percentage cuts
keep escalating. It's a lot of the reason why they keep
harping on about oh, there's been a good move on course
for this and more money on course for that and what great
value this is on the tote, etc etc etc.
All
aimed at encouraging the unaware to fork out another tenner
or twenty on these "movers" that you hadn't
probably even considered as a strong chance up until that
moment in time. And if you don't personally believe it
IS a strong chance, why the hell would you be putting
your money on it.
Similarly,
with all the wonderful "jackpots" and special
"this weekend only bonus trifectas / first fours"
etc etc they grind away at, ask yourself this: do you
NORMALLY bet on trifectas and first fours? If so, then
there is a marginally better offer there than what you
may normally expect. If you don't normally chase the exotics,
why on earth would you start now?
ALL
these promos and pre-race chatter are designed to increase
your turnover / their take - nothing else. Repeat - NOTHING
ELSE. You winning or losing doesn't matter a damn to them.
The game is turnover.
If
you have determined at the start of the day that there
are three or five or seven - whatever - number of bets
that you are going to have, determined by your analysis
approach, stick to that. DO NOT deviate from it. Don't
be swayed by the "wow, there's a big trifecta jackpot
on the next at Hawkesbury" and then find yourself
trying to do worthwhile form analysis on the run to get
your wonderful trifecta jackpot chasing bet on before
they jump. It is highly unlikely to be a winning bet.
Don't
be swayed by the urgers. There's a wonderful button on
my TV remote control. It has a symbol of a loud speaker
with a cross through it. Yes - correct - the "mute
button". You will find over the period of time this
is a very handy innovation. It means you don't have to
absorb all these audio sales messages being beamed your
way by people who want you to make those random bets that
rarely win and increase the tote turnover. Use it.
Every
day, by 10am, I know EXACTLY which horses I am betting
on for the day. I don't deviate. The only difference will
be if I am betting level stakes set and forget or chasing
race to race - all depending on which approach I may be
using to achieve a desired result. As time goes past I
drift more and more to the set and forget approach - probably
because I am time poor at the moment and find the set
and forget a better alternative for me and my punting
lifestyle. Every punter will be different from every one
else.
The
one thing that is for sure is this - if you are swayed
by these "huge trifecta jackpots", "great
first four jackpot" sales messages when they are
not your every day normal "go", if you are talked
in to these "big move for this on course" without
knowing anything about it, you will almost certainly lose
over the long term. It's why they employ talking heads
to deliver the sales message.
Have
a plan. Stick to it. If you're wrong, well, you're wrong.
If your right, your end result will not be depreciated
by silly random bets along the way.
It's
called discipline, Joyce!
