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Horse Racing Statistics Last Start Placegetters

Here are some interesting statistics that you may wish to consider in your approach to establishing patterns of predictability.

In the two years to July 3, 2010 there were 3936 races on metropolitan race tracks in Australia.

1145 had won their previous start         (29.09%)
675 had run 2nd at their previous start (17.14%)
476 had run 3rd at their previous start  (12.09%)
393 had run 4th at their previous start  (9.98%)

Totalled, it means of 3936 races, 2689 had been won by horses that finished in the first four at their previous start. - 68.32%

These are significant percentages.

State by state breakdown July 2008 - July 2010 is as follows:

 
Races
L/S Placing
Winners
%
Adelaide
698
1
161
23.07
   
2
102
14.61
62.17%
 
3
86
12.32
   
4
85
12.17
         
Brisbane
797
1
225
28.23
   
2
142
17.82
69.76%
 
3
109
13.68
   
4
80
10.04
         
Melbourne
890
1
287
32.25
   
2
175
19.66
71.23%
 
3
103
11.57
   
4
69
7.75
         
Perth
683
1
206
30.16
   
2
103
15.08
69.39%
 
3
86
12.59
   
4
79
11.57
         
Sydney
868
1
266
30.65
   
2
153
17.63
68.08%
 
3
92
10.60
   
4
80
9.22

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