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Horse racing winners by age

Here are some interesting statistics that you may wish to consider in your approach to establishing patterns of predictability.In the two years to July 3, 2010 there were 3936 races on metropolitan race tracks in Australia.

It is interesting to note the dramatic fall off in winners once they get past 6 years old.

Australia wide, 7 year olds won just 196 metro races in the two years or 4.97%

Australia wide, 8 year olds (and older) won just 107 races or 2.71%.
(This figure was boosted by a large number in South Australia - ask yourself why!)

These are significant percentages.

State by state breakdown July 2008 - July 2010 is as follows:

 
Races
Horse's age
Winners
%
Adelaide
698
2
66
9.46
 
 
3
169
24.21
 
 
4
173
24.79
 
 
5
145
20.77
   
6
70
10.03
   
7
34
4.87
   
8+
41
5.87
         
Brisbane
797
2
86
10.79
 
 
3
142
17.82
 
 
4
210
26.35
 
 
5
171
21.46
 
 
6
107
13.43
 
 
7
58
7.28
 
 
8+
23
2.88
         
Melbourne
890
2
89
10.0
 
 
3
249
27.98
 
 
4
217
24.38
 
 
5
183
20.56
   
6
99
11.12
   
7
39
4.38
   
8+
14
1.57
         
Perth
683
2
69
10.1
 
 
3
162
23.72
 
 
4
180
26.35
 
 
5
127
18.59
 
 
6
85
12.45
 
 
7
38
5.56
 
 
8+
22
3.22
         
Sydney
868
2
107
12.33
 
 
3
228
26.27
 
 
4
242
27.88
 
 
5
180
20.74
 
 
6
77
8.87
 
 
7
27
3.11
 
 
8+
7
0.8

 

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