Horse racing statistics by last start distance

Here are some interesting statistics that you may wish to consider in your approach to establishing patterns of predictability.

In the two years to July 3, 2010 there were 3936 races on metropolitan race tracks in Australia.

A large percentage of these races were won by horses whose last start distance was within 200 metres of today's distance.

These are significant percentages.

State by State breakdown July 2008 - July 2010 is as follows:

	Races	Distance differential from last start	Winners	%
Adelaide	698	0 to 50 metres + or -	263	37.60
		0 to100 metres + or -	352	50.40
		0 to 150 metres + or -	412	59.90
		0 to 200 metres + or -	531	76.07
Brisbane	797	0 to 50 metres + or -	324	40.65
		0 to100 metres + or -	423	53.07
		0 to 150 metres + or -	505	63.36
		0 to 200 metres + or -	644	80.80
Melbourne	890	0 to 50 metres + or -	305	34.26
		0 to100 metres + or -	460	51.68
		0 to 150 metres + or -	477	53.59
		0 to 200 metres + or -	696	78.28
Perth	683	0 to 50 metres + or -	225	32.94
		0 to100 metres + or -	356	52.12
		0 to 150 metres + or -	357	52.26
		0 to 200 metres + or -	562	82.28
Sydney	868	0 to 50 metres + or -	267	30.76
		0 to100 metres + or -	494	56.91
		0 to 150 metres + or -	518	59.67
		0 to 200 metres + or -	695	80.06
Overall	3936	0 to 50 metres + or -	1384	35.16
		0 to100 metres + or -	2085	52.97
		0 to 150 metres + or -	2269	57.64
		0 to 200 metres + or -	3128	79.47

 

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