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Horse racing statistics - by last start distance

Here are some interesting statistics that you may wish to consider in your approach to establishing patterns of predictability.

In the two years to July 3, 2010 there were 3936 races on metropolitan race tracks in Australia.

A large percentage of these races were won by horses whose last start distance was within 200 metres of today's distance.

These are significant percentages.

State by State breakdown July 2008 - July 2010 is as follows:

 
Races
Distance differential from last start
Winners
%
Adelaide
698
0 to 50 metres + or -
263
37.60
 
 
0 to100 metres + or -
352
50.40
 
 
0 to 150 metres + or -
412
59.90
 
 
0 to 200 metres + or -
531
76.07
         
Brisbane
797
0 to 50 metres + or -
324
40.65
 
 
0 to100 metres + or -
423
53.07
 
 
0 to 150 metres + or -
505
63.36
 
 
0 to 200 metres + or -
644
80.80
         
Melbourne
890
0 to 50 metres + or -
305
34.26
 
 
0 to100 metres + or -
460
51.68
 
 
0 to 150 metres + or -
477
53.59
 
 
0 to 200 metres + or -
696
78.28
         
Perth
683
0 to 50 metres + or -
225
32.94
 
 
0 to100 metres + or -
356
52.12
 
 
0 to 150 metres + or -
357
52.26
 
 
0 to 200 metres + or -
562
82.28
         
Sydney
868
0 to 50 metres + or -
267
30.76
 
 
0 to100 metres + or -
494
56.91
 
 
0 to 150 metres + or -
518
59.67
 
 
0 to 200 metres + or -
695
80.06
         
Overall
3936
0 to 50 metres + or -
1384
35.16
   
0 to100 metres + or -
2085
52.97
   
0 to 150 metres + or -
2269
57.64
   
0 to 200 metres + or -
3128
79.47

  

 

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