Horse racing winners statistics by last start beaten margins

Here are some interesting statistics that you may wish to consider in your approach to establishing patterns of predictability.

An Australian study was undertaken looking at the performance "today" of horses in relation to their beaten distance last start.

A large percentage of these races were won by horses whose beaten margin was less than 6.1 lengths.

These are significant percentages.

	Winners	% (applicable races)
Btn 1L or less	10862	47.3
Btn 2L or less	14175	60.2
Btn 3L or less	16967	71.6
Btn 4L or less	18971	80.0
Btn 5L or less	20503	86.4
Btn 6L or less	21413	90.3

The infamous "Blind Freddy" would therefore ask why on earth you would be putting anything on any horse beaten by more than 6 lengths at their last start UNLESS there was an enormous drop in race class

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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