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SEAN BARTHOLMEW INTERVIEW

Sean Bartholomew has recently been one of Australia's biggest punters and was interviewed on Racenet-TV.

(On early punting) “Every Saturday the wages got a good run up at the East Gosford TAB where I was from at the time and every weekend I’d go in there with my fifty dollars or one hundred dollars that I’d make at McDonalds and I’d walk out with nothing”

(Selection criteria) “For example, it’s pretty well publicised I think that horses tend to be pretty good bets if they’ve raced within the last seven days or “on the back up” as they call it and you look for little theories like that, trends in betting that help the punter to win and that’s what I found over a period of time. There’s lots of those and you look for horses where the trends combine and those sort of things that (work) for them together and become winning propositions”.

“…..to win at the punting or any form of gambling you have to have an edge that’s better than the next man and I found very quickly that I wasn’t going to have that edge watching videos so I went and developed my own way of winning which is a statistical way of looking at racing rather than an analytical way of looking at (race) videos …..”
“In my mind, with the figures that I’ve come up with, I would say the four most important statistics that any one can look at when they’re looking at a horse race – the jockey, the trainer, the barrier and the days since the horse had its last run.”

( on jockey / trainer aspect) “No, entire career stats aren’t relevant. The way I look at it is over a five year period putting a stronger weighting on the more recent performance. So I go through quite a rigorous process when I am looking at the jockey or trainer statistics in that I judge what they’ve done in the last 12 months, to put a heavier weighting on that than I do in previous runs or previous statistics that I look at”.

“Exactly the same method I do for trainers as jockeys”

(more important than the horses form?) “They all come out together. Everything is pushed together with a different rating on different things I look at there.
The jockey and the trainer weight stronger because they’re…….. the best final statistics than any other statistic . I do put a stronger weighting on that”

“I have about 35 things that I look at for each horse in each race that goes around”

“I don’t come out with a market. That’s another thing that a lot of people who do the form or look at horse racing do. They come out with a market … and they say this horse should be 2/1. I don’t do that. Again, I don’t think I’m the best at doing that.
I think that I am the best at saying that if you back this sort of horse over a period of time you’ll win 15% on turnover because it rates highly and it’s statistically the right sort of horse to be backing”

“There are other market indicators that I look at for the price of the horse like the totes and what they’re paying through trifectas and doubles and that sort of thing and that determines when I bet rather than what I bet on”.

“There’s more value in Australian racing than there is in any other form, any other country’s racing…. Australian punters think differently to the rest of the punters in the world.
Australian punters, when you look at tote markets, are more geared to backing outsiders, the general public, and the professional punters, they are looking at backing the favourites in Australia. The money to be made in Australian racing is backing horses in the market rather than horses out of the market”

“When you look at a market like the Hong Kong market, horses, prices are pretty true and real in that the favourite you’ll find is around its right price and the 100/1 shot is around it’s right price”

“In Australian racing you’ll find the favourite is on its price and the 100/1 shot is gross unders …. the closer to $1.10 the horse is, the closer it is to its (real) price in Australia”

(On multiples / trifectas) “I did have a go at the trifectas and the multiples betting – umm, I did win at it, but I found it very time consuming. It took me away from my punting in the betting ring and on the win totes which was far more profitable…………….”

“I prefer to back a horse that’s firmed than a horse that’s blown. When you look at statistics on that sort of thing horses that have firmed are much better bets”

“I look at the on course firmers and the tote firmers …… (on Betfair / exchanges) I think when they first came out they were a much better guide than they are now…..there punters on there very well informed and it was much more transparent than what it is now (2008)”

“And I think that as far as market indicator goes that there are a lot of people on there who aren’t winning at the moment and it gives you a false impression of the horses that are fancied and the horses that aren’t fancied”

(On staking) “The way I bet is that after having looked at all the market indicators and after looking at what I’ve got a horse rated at, might be $2.50 or 6/4 and I’ll say to my people on the track just keep backing it till it comes down to $2.20, keep taking any price $2.20 and over, and whatever I get on that horse, I’m not sure what I’ve got on that horse to be honest until a race is over a lot of the time”

(On track bias) “I think track bias takes care of itself….people get a little too caught up in track bias…..”

“As a punter myself I think the larger races (better class) are the way to go”

 

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