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Horse racing specialisation

One of the most common errors made by a significant number of punters is that their belief that they have to have a bet in every race in every State to make their "system" work. Some think that by having a large number of bets it "evens out" any statistical anomaly and results from a smaller "sample" of bets and restores their system to equilibrium. In most cases, this really is a euphemism for "impatient".

We rate horses seven days a week across all States of Australia but we DON'T venture down to the lower classes of races. Because of the slightly different class approaches that have been adopted by different State bodies (reminiscent of the different rail gauges at the turn of the 20th century for heavens sake) we pay particular care to this aspect of what we do.

For instance we rarely look at races below "72 class" in Victoria and for New South Wales we don't venture south of Rating 70 races very often or Rating 65 at the provincials. It's this level of class OF RACE that pulls us up in all other States as well.

We don't look at races restricted to two year olds or three year olds and are reluctant to look at races for fillies and mares.

In a perfect world, you would concentrate on just one State. Most will pick their HOME State for obvious reasons. But is that the best move? If you live in NSW or Victoria, it means a 7 day a week commitment, 4 to 5 days a week in SA, 5 to 6 days a week in Queensland, 4 to 5 days a week in WA and 1 sometimes 2 days a week in Tasmania.

Would you not be better off concentrating your effort on the smaller more insulated States where the number of trainers (successful) is less as is The case with the jockeys and where the number of "outside" influences is reduced?

Every day the average punter is assailed with reams and reams of information that you can't possibly absorb or make sense of if you are trying to have 24 or 32 or 40 bets a day. If you try to do this you, become grist for the mill - a net contributor to the TAB or Betfair pool rather than someone who can profit from it and I guarantee that must be the outcome - note we say guarantee not chance.

By specialising in just one State and limiting the number of race classes you are prepared to undertake any form of assessment in, gives you your best chance of success. Note we say say chance - not guarantee!

Here are set of "specialising rules" that may assist in your quest to make money from racing:

1. Know ONE State's tracks intimately. Know if they favour front runners or 'swoopers'

2. Know who is training in your chosen State and observe their "modus operandi"

3. Know the jockeys and be aware of their limitations ( yes, we ALL do have limitations)

4. Have the best form guide available for your State's racing as your basic tool.

5. Go to your local track / tracks as often as possible to learn all you can about them - the stuff you don't see on TV.

6. Limit your bets to four or five for most meetings (depending on the overall class of the meeting)

7. Know which type of bet you are most comfortable with and your "comfort level" of investment. This rule is MOST important.

8. Set a realistic rate of return.

We use the word know a few times in the above rules and we really mean it. You have to really know this stuff to profit from it. To be very confusing, you really will know when you DO know it and the results will show