Your
racing system and how to write it
If
you've been around racing for a couple of years and you've
kept your eyes and ears open and absorbed a bit of what's
going on, you probably have the basis of a good racing
system inside your head already.
So
how do you get it out of your head and in to practise.
Here's how you stop thinking about it and start doing
it. The trouble with most people is that they think about
it all too much. They plan, re-plan, rehash and all the
while really go nowhere with the idea.
Every
idea (and I mean EVERY idea) has a finite energy which
gradually dissipates with the passage of time so while
you keep putting all this stuff on the "back burner",
no decent meals ever will leave the stove. Like many people,
I have ideas all the time. In fact, sometimes I wish I
could stop having new ideas just so I can catch up on
the backlog of those already created!
You
may have absorbed (perhaps on this site) some information
which bubbles around inside your head about racing and
what makes some horses more successful than others in
all grades of racing, country and metro, around the country
side and you may have thought to yourself "terrific
- next time I see a horse that matches that criteria,
that's what the bucks are on". Terrific. Did you
document it? Write it down? Print it out? Look at it every
day before you have a bet?
It's
that type of discipline that you need to formulate your
own ideas - call it " system" if you like -
in such a way that you can win consistently from racing.
And it is only through the application of a consistent
set of successful " rules" and a staking plan
that you will ever make money in the long term (or minimise
your losses to a break even scenario).
So
take all your ideas about racing and write them down on
a sheet of paper or type them into a Word document and
call it something really original like "Racing System
1". Actually typing a a document called that is a
better idea because it is easier to add or subtract ideas
and rules as you go.
Take
all of your ideas and commit to them. Stop thinking about
it and start doing it. Your ideas will be no less valid
than mine and the research you do in to the subject will
be personally invaluable - "and we hope one day valuable"
- sorry - old Monty Python line that bubbles to the surface
every time I hear the word invaluable.
Once
you've made the commitment to "do it", your
subconscious brain WILL take over and start adding in
more and more ideas as you go. Thinking about backing
winners and making money will not bring you success alone
- it requires ACTION. When you have an idea, add it in
to the original "file" and see if works in harmony
with the ordinal concept. If not throw it out. Or, here's
the biggie - throw out the original concept.
The
thing to avoid at all costs is dwelling on the what if's
and wondering if it's all possible at the end of the day
and allowing your seed of an idea to wither on the vine
like so many that went before it. As Glen Boss said in
his entertaining book "A Jockey's Story", spend
too much time looking in the rear view mirror and the
world will pass you by.
Invest
time every day looking at your written down ideas and
see where you can improve on them. I know. You work six
days a week and time is a fleeting resource. So get up
half an hour earlier when your brain is at its freshest
and just quietly sit and contemplate what you are trying
to achieve. Horse racing is not rocket science. It's simply
a matter of which horse gets to the line first (or in
the first three) and reasonable assumptions can be made
about these outcomes based on patterns of long term
predictability.
Yes
- here we go again - long term. That's the magic pill
in this business - thinking LONG TERM. Which is why short
term time investment is such a vital part to make the
long term result possible. It doesn't matter two hoots
if you lose today, this week, this month. It's the result
this year that's important. Obviously you have to have
set aside a bank large enough to handle the long term
approach BUT the bank itself is only large in comparison
to your average size bet. I know people that have started
with an idea (mine or theirs) with $250 and turned it
in to good money in 12 months. And it wasn't just blind
luck that got them there.
You
WILL NOT win AT ANY FORM of gambling adopting short term
approaches. It is impossible. If you can't commit to long
term - pass. Do something else. Grow orchids.
Here
are some pages on this web site with valuable long term
data that should part of your considerations in formulating
your approach to sustainable selection:
A
horse's age
Days
since last start
In
relation to last start distance
In
relation to last start beaten margin
In
fact there are many more of them you'll find on this page:
Older
Articles
You
may have noticed patterns that everyone else has passed
by without a second glance and these are your most valuable
observations as you will be betting "against the
tide" and there's nothing wrong with that because
the odds will be longer. . The "tide" is wrong
more often than it is right. How often have you been watching
Sky Channel and heard the talking head say stuff like
"well, this has blown out the door as the big punters
have opted for ........." and how often has the easer
in the market saluted? The tide is wrong more than it
is right.
So
if you want to develop your own "system" - and
I think that's a great idea - do it. Start today. Keep
fine tuning your ideas to make long term profit an achievable
outcome. But actually DO IT. Start that Word document
file and grow it - day by day - week by week. You'll find
your mind will focus in on that subconsciuosly even more
than what you may actually be doing.
By
doing you own system you'll feel a whole lot better and
get closer to being one of the 4% who actually make long
term profits from racing gambling rather than just sitting
on the couch thinking about it. Your deep within dreams
and passions will NEVER come true passionately dreaming
about them. Stop thinking. Stop thinking about planning.
Stop thinking about planning to stop thinking about planning.
Take action. Now.
"Money
is not the destination. Money is the vehicle to get there."
- Anon.
