Laysafe
- Australian horse racing laying system
$29.50
This
is a really interesting and profitable little idea developed
and tested by us from the beginning of February 2009 to
the end of March 2009.
BUT
NOTE VERY WELL - this is a slow and steady accumulating
method - not a get rich tomorrow scheme!
Our
research shows that between February 8, 2009 (the day
we commenced the project) through until March 30 2009,
there were 504 laying opportunities identified - unambiguous,
clear cut, no second guessing opportunities!
Why
504 lays? Our target was 500 to get a solid overall view
of this method's effectiveness and be confident of its
long term success.
Of
these 504 laying opportunities, 379 of them subsequently
did not win their race. Put another way, that's a 75.19%
success rate in identifying SHORT PRICED HORSES that don't
win.
Short
priced? Yes - the longest winner we would have had to
pay out on in nearly two months was priced at $4.90 on
Unitab (using Unitab divs as a yardstick).
In
fact, many many losers were odds on and had all the odds
stacked against them so the punters who were happy to
lay the odds on were taking the exactly wrong course of
action. By concentrating on laying SHORT priced horses
and retaining a successful strike rate of 75%, we're sure
you can see the opportunities here for investment.
We
can only quote you TAB dividend comparisons here because,
if you are laying horses on Betfair, there is no absolute
price that can be quoted as "odds given" unless
you are physically doing it yourself and offering the
odds.
In
our calculations, assuming you have average laying skills,
we are being very generous and estimating a constant payout
of a flat 5% above Unitab SP to get a sound idea of the
profitability of this method.
These
are our "HEADLINE" results:
• 504 laying opportunities identified
(7.2.09 to 30.3.09)
• 379 losers laid
• a success strike rate of 75.19%
• On
a flat stake basis it means 504 units in - 433.4 units
out
Now
this equates to a raw profit on turnover of 14% - remember,
that is FLAT STAKES laying.
If
you were reasonably able to lay these at 5% above the
Unitab SP it would mean the same 504 units in but about
460 units out, or, a safe and conservative profit on turnover
of about 9%. It may even be a more attractive proposition
than that if you are using the "HOME State"
TAB as the benchmark - we haven't had the hours to run
that data check. We only used Unitab as the benchmark.
The
rules of "selection" for these laying propositions
are easy, simple and completely unambiguous. Once you
identify them, it is up to you at what price you lay them.
Naturally, the lower the price you are offering, the better
return you will get - that bit IS up to you.
$29.50

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