MY STORY

I
ummed and ahed about writing this page for quite a long
time before starting the "blank page run". Why
ummed and ahed? Mainly on the issue of relevance but, then
again, I always like to know who I am dealing with and listening
to in my day-to-day affairs so it seems only fair
that I should spell out my interest and history with "the
punt".
My
lifelong obsession with gambling started with my grandmother
who, at age 11 (me, not her!), taught me to play
euchre and poker, do the draw back with Craven A cork tipped
cigarettes and bet on horse racing. She lived right next
door to a TAB in a Brisbane bayside suburb, so the latter
was a daily occurrence.
She
also introduced me to the idea of the possibility of regularly
winning through the systematic analysis of past performances
with a view to providing indicative information about a
yet to be decided random event. Well - not really!! She
had a type of system - the type that will drive you stark
raving mad.
Where
she got it from I have no idea but here goes - don't say
you weren't warned... Her idea was to back horses only if
the third letter in their name was an "r" especially
if they were the ONLY horse in a race that qualified for
this in depth approach to quality punting - I know - absolutely
off the planet BUT... check out the results from yesterday's
racing - any day's racing - and weep. It will drive you
fair dinkum mad when you start looking for this.
Anyway,
that's what she did so, so did I! In the early 1960's my
mother used to give me two pounds a week on holidays for
pocket money (which were always spent at Nanna's joint)
so when two third letter horses won a daily double in Sydney
and paid over 230 pounds I had a little explaining to do......
found it in the gutter didn't go over too well ....... and
so did Nanna have to explain to my strictly Presbyterian
mother who thought gambling was the end of the world as
we know it - especially as her uncle had just been busted
by the Queensland constabulary for SP bookmaking and was
now the black sheep of the family.
And
so my fascination for "beating the horses" was
started by this quirky third letter R system. Of course,
that didn't last as my understanding of punting expanded
in my late teen years and I became consumed with the collection
of data.
In
those days (if you weren't around then) the only real data
was in the form guides published by the newspapers. There
was none of the reams and reams of data available online
as there is today (which is probably why the margins between
winning and losing are much tighter) and the main source
of form was The Telegraph - an afternoon paper that used
to be published in Brisbane - and the Courier Mail.
There
was also a paper called the Melbourne Truth which focused
on some great but unbelievable "vox pop" stories
- e.g. "My Uncle Was Kidnapped By Aliens" - and
also featured racing quite heavily and covered it quite
well. They actually carried racehorse form for the past
five starts which was unavailable in the Courier
Mail and Telegraph who only did the last three starts. So
it became apparent that to be truly successful you had to
have a system of data retention that was hinted at in Rem
Plante's book which was quite successful and the Bible of
its time.
So
this is where it all started - going to the newsagents at
East Brisbane and buying blocks of 100 "feint ruled"
record cards that measured about 6 inches by 5 inches in
the "old language" and fastidiously recording
(by hand!) every race horse run in Queensland that I could
uncover and any comments regarding the run I could find
or observed myself as I used to go to the races every day
I could manage at that time.
Of
course the idea was that I would cover every horse in Australia
(why not?) but it soon became obvious that the task of gathering
that much information was way beyond one person - apart
from which my Queensland collection was starting to become
a storage issue on its own.
What
I did find was that the more time I spent fastidiously keeping
records and data and opinions, the more winners I backed
and the less I started to lose. But it was interfering with
my daytime job - at the time I was a junior public servant
in the Queensland Government - so something had to give.
I longed for the ability to be able to go to the midweek
meetings at Esk, Gatton, Beaudesert and Kilcoy and be able
to gather more personally observed data for my own records
and so the obsession had manifested itself!
In
1969 it was obvious that I had to do this full time so I
resigned from my full time job (BIG MISTAKE) and decided
to spend my days gathering, punting, gathering, punting
- ahh, the optimism of youth! I wisely did not inform my
mother as to my decision. So 1969 became a watershed year
but with a result I would not have wished for but inevitably
plunged towards. It culminated in a motoring trip to the
1969 Melbourne Cup - a big trip in those days from Brisbane
but no challenge for the 1963 EJ Holden Premier sedan (gold
of course in colour) that I had...... well, the finance
company really had and eventually did!
By
the time we got to Melbourne after punting our way down
the eastern seaboard at every race, trot and dog meeting
known to mankind (even the Dapto dogs) , the bank was decidedly
shaky. By the time Rain Lover saluted for the second time
in the Melbourne Cup all that stood between me and bankruptcy
was a doubles ticket that I took in Sydney on the way down
to Melbourne with Rain Lover and Daryl's Joy in the Derby
but I had to go back to Sydney to collect it!!
Just
a disaster from start to finish, but an example of how one's
ambitions can run way away from reality. What it taught
me was that you should never stray far from your betting
comfort zone and that if you have a "system" that
you are confident about, never vary - stay consistent -
don't wander and, at worse, you will minimise your losses
for the day.
However,
I digress. So back to Brisbane, no money, no job, but a
heap of data updating that needed to be done that had accumulated
while I was off on the Melbourne jaunt. Gee, this was a
great life wasn't it? Luckily jobs were pretty easy to get
in those days so I got a job selling cars for a Brisbane
dealership - bit of a problem as I hadn't really formally
gone through the official process of getting a car driver's
licence - an even bigger problem when on day one
of my employment I managed to put a very expensive car into
a creek on Bowen Bridge Road!
Oh
dear - the problems were getting bigger. The following Saturday
at Doomben I backed two substantial winners - one at 33/1
and followed up in the next race with a 14/1 winner having
won enough in those two transactions to: a) pay for the
Melbourne losses, b) restore my punting bank to its previous
level of $3500 (a not inconsequential amount in those days)
and c) fix up the car dealer for the damage to their precious
ZA Fairlane sedan. HOME free!
But
it was obvious to me that, even though I had been lucky,
I did not have the mental control to succeed at this caper
full time so I had better get a meaningful job to subsidise
my punting interests. The next 25 years I very happily spent
in the media in places all over Australia enjoying it and
the freedom to punt a bit as well as developing my ideas
on different methodologies that I believed would work reasonably
successfully in the racing world - a job made so much easier
these days by the plethora of information that is now available
at the touch of an "enter" key.
One
of the greatest punting "gems" that ever passed
to my eager grasp was, at first, not recognised by me for
the gem that it was - mainly because I was "in drink".
After the last race at Mowbray in Launceston, I was in the
Member's Bar with a bookmaker with whom I bet "on the
nod" - an extremely dangerous practise when mixed with
alcohol. I had just "got out" on the day with
a fortuitous 10/1 winner on the last in Sydney and we were
having a quite convivial chat when he said "your trouble
is that you're a good punter but a hopeless gambler".
Now
that is one of those statements that you learn to take on
board (even in drink) and think about later - "a good
punter but a hopeless gambler" - and it took me a little
cogitation the next day to realise he was right and that
had been a problem for most of my punting life.
These
days my punting is very structured and long term oriented
- I can happily walk away from a day's activities slightly
behind, confident in the knowledge that in "the long
run" I will finish in front at the end of the year
as has been the case for quite a few years now. The heart
of the data-gatherer-user still beats ever as strong and
I love refining and testing methodologies that can be exasperating
and exciting and passing them on to other folk at different
stages of their punting journeys in the hope that they enjoy
them and possibly profit from them too.
I
punt most days (except when family "things" are
way more important - and they always are when you think
about it!) and enjoy an unobtrusive and quiet life in front
of this computer (which now has grown to three screens).
I don't seek to win a million dollars like I used to and
at times this becomes so tedious that I think I could walk
away from it all but then how would I spend my time?
This
computer is now the "feint ruled" record cards
full of data I could not have ever imagined back in 1964
and I find the thrill of "the chase" of trying
to perfect the methodologies just as exhilarating now as
when I began to notice the effectiveness of record keeping
way back then. In fact, the thrill of the chase is probably
way more important to me than the prize.
The
greatest thing I think I have learned from this is that
with ANY methodology, so much of the end result depends
on the starting point of using the methodology. Where do
you "jump on" the endless conveyor belt of races
that are there for the punting seven days a week? And how
do you control the randomness of that decision because it
undoubtedly determines the end result?
There
is no correct answer to that question. It's called luck
- and being consistent.
And
by the way - Warm Whispers won at Moonee Valley last night
(5.12.08) - paid $5.60 - and, yes, it was the only third
letter R in the field!! Wonder do they punt in heaven?