"You'd
never catch me using a system. They're for wankers!"
Heard that before?
But
what do the people who utter those words (everlastingly
it seems - like country music fans, not just happy
to enjoy the stuff - they want everyone else to worship
the ground Garth Brooks walks on!) do themselves
to pick a winner?
If
they do ANY form "analysis" at
all, they are using a system whether
they want to concede the point or not. "NO
- not me maaate - I just back horses that started
within the last fortnight and finished within two
lengths of the winner. Easy as that.". And
that's not a system? Hold me up!
A
friend who used to be a racecaller had to give four
tips in each race whether he liked four runners or
not. That's what Sky Channel asked for so that's what
they got. He may have thought it was the worst race
in Australia and that all the runners in the race
couldn't run out of sight down a coal mine but he
HAD to provide 1st to 4th in every race he called
- that was the deal.
And
yet, you could stand in the "crowd" and
hear people say "oh, (caller) tipped so and so
- that'll do me - he's pretty good!".
Dear
oh dear - give me a break.
If
you do ANY form analysis, at any superficial level,
you are following a system. If you're not following
a system you would literally have to be pulling random
numbers out of a hat and betting on those. And it
could be argued that that in itself is a system.
Punting
on horses and doing NO analysis of chance at all,
is a recipe for financial disaster. Unnecessarily
so.
With
all the methodologies we have put together over the
years, we have tried to establish which interacting
form elements, taken in totality, have the best chance
of predicting future events based on past performances.
That's
all we do. Anyone who "handicaps" races
does exactly the same thing. We sincerely hope that
you do the same thing.
If you haven't got the endless hours that we do to
investigate these things, we hope you try one of our
"systems".
Anyone
who says "I don't believe in systems" is
either kidding themselves, under-rating their own
form analysis or delusional. Or pulling numbers out
of a hat. They give themselves absolutely NO chance
of returning a profit. And that IS dumb.
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