Horse
racing systems fact or fallacy
"You'd
never catch me using a system. They're for wankers!"
Heard that before?
But
what do the people who utter those words (everlastingly it seems
- like country music fans, not just happy to enjoy the stuff - they
want everyone else to worship the ground Garth Brooks walks on!)
do themselves to pick a winner?
If they do ANY form "analysis" at all,
they are using a system whether they want to concede the point
or not.
"NO - not me maaate - I just back horses that started
within the last fortnight and finished within two lengths of the
winner. Easy as that.". And that's not a system?
Hold me up!
A friend
who used to be a racecaller had to give four tips in each race whether
he liked four runners or not. That's what Sky Channel asked for
so that's what they got. He may have thought it was the worst race
in Australia and that all the runners in the race couldn't run out
of sight down a coal mine but he HAD to provide 1st to 4th in every
race he called - that was the deal.
And yet, you could stand in the "crowd" and hear people
say "oh, (caller) tipped so and so - that'll do me - he's pretty
good!".
Dear oh dear - give me a break.
If you do ANY form analysis, at any superficial level, you are following
a system. If you're not following a system you would literally have
to be pulling random numbers out of a hat and betting on those.
And it could be argued that that in itself is a system.
Punting on horses and doing NO analysis of chance at all, is a recipe
for financial disaster. Unnecessarily so.
With all the methodologies we have put together over the years,
we have tried to establish which interacting form elements, taken
in totality, have the best chance of predicting future events based
on past performances.
That's all we do. Anyone who "handicaps" races does exactly
the same thing. We sincerely hope that you do the same thing.
If you haven't got the endless hours that we do to investigate these
things, we hope you try one of our "systems".
Anyone who says "I
don't believe in systems" is either kidding themselves, under-rating
their own form analysis or delusional. Or pulling numbers out
of a hat.
They give themselves absolutely NO chance of returning a profit.
And that IS dumb.
Horse
racing systems and research
