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Odds On Only horse racing system

This is a system designed for those who like to bet on odds on favourites and for punters who have no fear. It flies in the face of "conventional" thinking where punters are generally advised "odds on - look on"'. You have been warned!

THE RULES

1) Operate on any race with 10 or less starters

2) Eliminate any race where the odds on favourite is NOT a last start winner

3) The odds on favourite must be the only last start winner in the field

4) Eliminate any odds on favourite that has not won at the distance (or okay - placed?) at the distance of today's race

5) Do not bet if the track is not rated as Good or better

THE STAKING SUGGESTION

You only ever operate with a bank of 100 units with a maximum of three bets per bank

Bet 1: 10 units on the first selection. If it wins, great, take the profit and a new bank begins. If it loses, advance to bet 2

Bet 2: 40 units on the second selection. It doesn't matter if this horse wins or loses - you MUST advance to bet 3

Bet 3: 50 units on the third selection

This concludes the series and a new bank starts again (see workout below)

2014 Update:

Tested 1.7.2013 through to 30.6.2014

Meetings considered : 2601
Win Strike Rate/Seln. : 67.2%
Plc Strike Rate/Seln. : 79.7%
Average Win Dividend : $1.51
Average Plc Dividend : $1.19

Level Stakes WIN profit (NSW TAB) 1.7%

Level Stakes PLACE profit (NSW TAB) 2.9%

Longest run of win outs? 3 in the test year (on one occasion October 2013)

21/06/2014 ROCKHAMPTON R 3 # 1 EXECUTED WON 1.10 PL 1.10
14/06/2014    BELMONT PARK R 5 # 7 ELITE BELLE WON 1.40 PL 1.30
08/06/2014     PORT AUGUSTA R 7 # 3 FATHER TONY 2ND PL 1.10
25/05/2014   ALICE SPRINGS R 1 # 3 TUDOR GLEN 2ND PL 1.00
17/05/2014 BELMONT PARK R 1 # 1 REBEL KING     WON 1.10 PL 1.00
03/05/2014 ALICE SPRINGS R 2 # 1 PERFECT PAUSE   WON 1.40 PL 1.40
13/04/2014 PINJARRA R 6 # 1 MAC IT IS WON 1.90 PL 1.20
05/04/2014 ALICE SPRINGS R 4 # 1 PURRFECT PARAGON WON 1.40 PL 1.00
15/03/2014 DARWIN R 1 # 2 IT'S HOME WON 1.40
09/03/2014   ALICE SPRINGS R 1 # 3 HEART REEF WON 1.60 PL 1.00
07/03/2014 PORT LINCOLN R 1 # 1 ORIDANE     WON 1.50 PL 1.20
05/03/2014 PORT LINCOLN R 1 # 1 SLIDE OF HAND WON 1.20
    R 6 # 1 TINTAGEL ROCKER WON 1.50 PL 1.10
01/03/2014 FLEMINGTON R 9 # 4 AKZAR WON 1.90 PL 1.10
  ESPERANCE R 1 # 3 HUSSARS WON 1.80 PL 1.40
19/02/2014   MT BARKER R 3 # 3 SUCCESS STORY WON 1.80 PL 1.20
16/02/2014 TOWNSVILLE R 3 # 1 SEQUONIS    4TH
12/02/2014 EAGLE FARM   R 2 # 3 BEACH BABE 3RD PL 0.00
09/02/2014 ALICE SPRINGS R 4 # 2 DANGER MOUSE WON 1.70 PL 1.20
08/02/2014    RANDWICK R 1 # 1 LAW   WON 1.40 PL 1.10
05/02/2014   DOOMBEN R 4 # 2 PASQUINEL WON 1.80 PL 1.20
02/02/2014 TERANG R 4 # 2 ANTIKITA WON 1.80 PL 1.30
01/02/2014 TOOWOOMBA R 4 # 2 MAYPOLE 4TH
  ROSEHILL R 1 # 4 WOODBINE WON 1.20 PL 1.00
31/01/2014   ESPERANCE R 1 # 2 HUSSARS WON 1.90 PL 1.30
21/01/2014 TOWNSVILLE R 1 # 1 ELEMENT OF CHANCE  WON 1.50
02/01/2014 DALBY R 5 # 5 SEEN    WON 1.40 PL 1.00
28/12/2013 CANTERBURY R 8 # 6 MESSENE   WON 1.60 PL 1.10
24/12/2013 MACKAY R 2 # 3 ACCELERO 2ND PL 1.30
21/12/2013 KEMBLA R4 # 7 AGADIR WON 1.90 PL 1.40
  DARWIN      R 2 # 6 AGENT OF MERCY 2ND PL 1.20
  ASCOT   R 1 # 8 WILD STRATUS     WON 1.90 PL 1.30
14/12/2013 DOOMBEN R 3 # 1 VIENNA ROYALE  
09/12/2013 DUBBO R 6 # 2 SHIRAZ   WON 1.80 PL 1.20
07/12/2013 MORPHETTVILLE R 6 # 5 BACK ON TARGET 3RD PL 1.10
30/11/2013 WAGGA R 1 # 1 RUN CANNON RUN WON 1.50 PL 1.30
14/11/2013 ROCKHAMPTON R 3 # 1 ISIS DEVIL  WON 1.70 PL 1.20
09/11/2013 RANDWICK R 1 # 3 INDEX LINKED 2ND PL 1.30
  EAGLE FARM    R 2 # 1 SETFIRE TO THERAIN WON 1.50 PL 1.10
01/11/2013 MOREE R 3 # 3 KYOGLE TOWN 2ND PL 1.10
  TOWNSVILLE R 3 # 3 LITTLE DUCAT 4TH
  DARWIN R 1 # 2 UNLUCKY 3RD PL 0.00
11/10/2013 CANBERRA R 3 # 2 GOT THE GOSS WON 1.10 PL 1.00
06/10/2013 NORTHAM R 7 # 1 NEED A LIFT 3RD PL 1.30
05/10/2013 RANDWICK R 4 # 1 GUELPH    WON 1.30 PL 1.00
28/09/2013 BELMONT R 4 # 2 NOVA JOE  
    R 5 # 3 ORA DARE 2ND PL 1.20
15/09/2013 DUBBO R 3 # 3 OYWOTZY   WON 1.50 PL 1.20
14/09/2013 TOOWOOMBA R 1 # 5 SOLAR CHOICE WON 1.70
  MOONEE VALLEY R 4 # 1 ATLANTIC JEWEL WON 1.00 PL 1.00
11/09/2013 EAGLE FARM R 3 # 6 VIS A TERGO WON 1.70 PL 1.20
03/09/2013 TAMWORTH R 6 # 3 HOT HIT   WON 1.40 PL 1.10
27/08/2013 TAMWORTH R 3 # 4 UP AND OVER   2ND PL 2.20
13/08/2013 BROOME R 1 # 1 BILLESTRINI   2ND PL 1.10
10/08/2013 GOLD COAST   R 7 # 6 POWERFUL JET    WON 1.00 PL 1.10
31/07/2013 DARWIN   R 1 # 1 CORSTONS BEAU  WON 1.10 PL 1.00
30/07/2013 CANBERRA R 1 # 3 GAME OF CHANCE 2ND PL 1.30
28/07/2013 DEVONPORT R 8 # 1 BLACK 'N' TOUGH WON 1.10 PL 1.00
27/07/2013 DARWIN R 4 # 1 PERSONA GRATA   WON 1.70 PL 1.00
26/07/2013 BROOME R 3 # 3 ROCK OF HONOUR  
24/07/2013 DEVONPORT R 8 # 2 MISS MIDDLETON   WON 1.30 PL 1.20
13/07/2013 BROOME R 2 # 2 PLAIN LUCKY WON 1.70 PL 1.60
07/07/2013 TOWNSVILLE R5 # 5 STRATO MOSTRO    WON 1.90 PL 1.40
  ALICE SPRINGS R 2 # 3 TURNING STONE  

(Warning: The test results are just that – test results – and are published for your interest. They should not in any way be considered a future performance indicator or a guide to any profits that may or may not be made using these criteria. Racing is not that predictable.)

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