There’s been a “system” written about quite often
on a popular Australian forum for some time regarding a place betting
system that depends on the approximate dividends and their relation
to the approximate win dividend. The rules as outlined on this forum
were:
Qualifies
for a place bet if:-
win dividend is less than $2.00 and place dividend is $1.20 or better
win dividend is $2.00 to $2.90 and place dividend is 50% plus 30 cents
or more
win dividend is $3.00 to $3.90 and place dividend is 50% plus 20 cents
or more
win dividend is $4.00 to $4.90 and place dividend is 50% plus 10 cents
or more
win dividend is $5.00 and place dividend is $2.50 or better
The logic of this quite interesting and seems in place. It means everyone
else ‘sets” the market and you, as punter, pick and choose
which anomalies to take advantage of. It has interested us for a while
and the fact that the person who developed this keeps writing about
it, we thought we’d spend some time seeing how it worked out.
The rules (as outlined above) did not unfortunately specify 8 starters
or more or if seven and less starters were also acceptable, so we
assumed it was for 8 starters or more.
Accordingly, the results of our four day trial including only runners
with a minimum of 8 starters were as follows:
MONDAY
19.4.10
Kilmore no bets
Taree no bets
Dubbo no bets
Devonport no bets
SUNDAY
18.4.10
Cranbourne 1 4 Scripps Booth unp
Tamworth 6 2 Morecambe Bay Won 2.10 / 1.50
Tamworth 7 3 Dealers unp
Hamilton 9 2 Eightways unp
Wagga 1 3 Hammersley 2nd 1.40
SATURDAY
17.4.10
Caulfield 3 2 Savarain 2nd 1.20
Randwick no bets
Morphettville no bets
Doomben no bets
Ascot 2 1 Bridgestone unp
Ascot 6 2 Impressive Jeuney Won 1.80 / 1.20
FRIDAY
16.4.10
Ballarat 2 13 Makin’ Mojo unp
Ballarat 5 13 Belle Diva unp
Nowra no bets
Sunshine Coast no bets
Ballina no bets
Again, we point out that the instructions were not specific about
number of starters per race. Overall therefore, the results with
a minimum number of 8 starters, were
Total Races considered: 189
Number of qualifying bets: 16 (8.46% of total races)
Total of winning dividends: 10.7 units
Return on investments: - 33.12%
IF THE
RULES WERE ASSUMED TO INCLUDE ALL RACES (INCLUDING THOSE WITH 7
OR LESS STARTERS) THE RESULTS WERE AS FOLLOWS:
MONDAY
19.4.10
Kilmore 5 2 Flash’n Dough 3rd 0.00
7 Slacksmith unp
Taree no bets
Dubbo no bets
Devonport 1 6 Seeking Chi 3rd 0.00
SUNDAY 18.4.10
Cranbourne 1 4 Scripps Booth unp
Tamworth 3 2 Apache Crown Won 2.90 / 1.80
Tamworth 3 8 Sly Lu unp
Tamworth 6 2 Morecambe Bay Won 2.10 / 1.50
Tamworth 7 3 Dealers unp
Port Augusta 1 6 Sheza Bomb Shell 2nd 1.90
Sunshine Coast 4 1 Coming Up Trumps 2nd 1.90
Sunshine Coast 6 4 Warrior Within Won 2.50 / 2.20
Sunshine Coast 7 6 Redgate 2nd 1.20
Hamilton 1 4 Beach D’Or unp
Hamilton 9 2 Eightways unp
Wagga 1 3 Hammersley 2nd 1.40
SATURDAY
17.4.10
Caulfield 3 2 Savarain 2nd 1.20
Randwick no bets
Morphettville no bets
Doomben no bets
Ascot 2 1 Bridgestone unp
Ascot 6 2 Impressive Jeuney Won 1.80 / 1.20
Kembla Grange 7 5 Shadows In The Sun unp
Kembla Grange 8 2 Daintree Road 2nd 1.20
Hamilton no bets
Toowoomba 3 1 Regal Ruben 2nd 1.20
Toowoomba 4 2 Two And A Half Men 3rd 1.70
Toowoomba 7 2 Hussonite 2nd 1.30
Gold Coast 6 1 Stoner unp
FRIDAY 16.4.10
Ballarat 1 3 Abdicated 2nd 2.30
Ballarat 2 13 Makin’ Mojo unp
Ballarat 3 7 Miss Inform Won 1.60 / 1.30
Ballarat 5 13 Belle Diva unp
Ballarat 6 2 Burley Griffen 2nd 1.70
Nowra no bets
Sunshine Coast no bets
Ballina no bets
Again, we point out that the instructions were not specific about
number of starters per race. Overall therefore, the results with
no minimum number of starters, were
Total Races considered: 189
Number of qualifying bets: 26 (13.75% of total races)
Total of winning dividends: 25 units
Return on investments: - 3.8%
Our dividends are based on Victorian TAB figures— the overall
results may therefore differ in other States
The tests only included these four days and therefore the
results will be different if done on different days either for the
better or the worse.
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