A mathematician has done some work on these losing runs, based on the average % of winners usually selected.
Note: these are not set in concrete but are a reasonable guide as to what you may expect to happen from time to time.
"Usual" percentage of winners |
"Average" Possible Losing Run |
"Worst" Possible losing Run |
50% (unlikely) |
4 to 5 |
12 to 14 |
40% (still unlikely) |
6 to 7 |
18 to 20 |
33% (favourites?) |
9 to 12 |
26 to 37 |
25% (average - good) |
16 to 18 |
48 to 55 |
20%
(average) |
25 to 28 |
75 |
15%
(oh dear) |
40 |
110
to 120 |
Obviously, you will hit these average and worst case scenario losing runs now and again. However you select your winners, work out your average hit rate and change your staking plan according to what you may expect to happen in order to limit the damage.
If you hit an average of 20% winners, and your level stake bet is $10, you will need a bank of at least $750 to outlast any worst case scenario losing streak, or, as we call them, "Armageddon".