The formula for calculating expected losing
sequences is as follows:
1 divided by (Losing Strike Rate divided by
100) to the power of 'number of run of outs'.
Important note: The Losing Strike Rate is 100
minus the Win Strike Rate.
Here is an example for a system with a winning
Strike Rate of 28% to see how often you should experience a sequence of, say,
14 losers in a row:
=1/(78/100)^14
=1/.78^14
=99.35
=99 (rounded)
The "conclusion" is therefore that
every 99 bets you may expect to see 14 losers in a row.