on horses this week?
There's a bloke who communicates
with me from time to time called Kim. Never met him. Wouldn't know
him if I fell over him in the street - which would be regrettable
set of circumstances from his perspective as middle age has not been
kind from an increasing girth angle. There was a time I could have
made the weight to ride Crisp or Lots of Time but that time has passed.
Kim is pretty obsessed
about research. He occasionally attaches spreadsheets to his infrequent
emails to demonstrate the progress he is making with his projects
and to say they are expansive is an understatement. I have no idea
how many hours a day he spends on this but I imagine over a week they
would be considerable.
He analyses every system,
from a rough count of the number of headings, with data sub sets covering
at least 90 to 100 angles. Things that encompass ideas like distance,
field size and number of first up performers in every field through
to race age restrictions and positions at the turn for the last three
races they competed in. I kid you not, in the last work out he sent
me there must be 60 pages of data and statistics. I don't think there's
enough in the big black ink tank to print it all out.
So what's this guy about?
Is he obsessed about stats or, heaven forbid,
driven to win?
an old gag about the two drunks sitting in the park and one says to
his mate "my wife drove to me to drink". His mate replies
"Lucky bastard. I had to walk".
drives this bloke to win? The fear of losing? The compulsion to find
an angle that is not in fashion at the moment that creates a winning
percentage over and above the traditional? I plead guilty to both
counts, Your Honour. What it does prove is the old adage: you only
get out of (racing) something, whatever you are prepared
to put in to it.
doesn't matter if you are talking about racing or athletics or politics
or working at Bunnings or performing on American Idol. (Speaking of
that - if you can get on a singer called Jacob Lusc(?) for this year's
final, get on - he's as close to a certainty as it is possible to
find in those competitions - brilliant singer - unbelievable voice
and presence - a stone bonker if ever there was one........I digress.
(May 2011 update: He lost!)
to racing - what you get out will only
ever be in direct proportion to what you put in.
do you see people at the TAB or at the races (not that many go
any more) running around like chooks with their heads cut off
trying to get on the latest shortener at Warrnambool or the latest
tip from the bloke in the corner and having very little idea about
what the horse or dog has done in the past or, indeed. what it's likely
to do today or CERTAINLY no idea about what a value price about it
would be for today's contest.
can't be bothered putting in the time to analyse what you should be
doing with horse racing, if your input is nil, I guarantee it will
exactly match your take out.....NIL.
pro golfers you see on Foxtel picking up a cool million for a tourney
didn't just walk on to the tee and think "hey, this is a cool
way to make a quid". They spent years and years and years - countless
hours - practising, and practising and re-practising every shot they
have in their buggy. They weren't born with it - they practised to
you think gambling is any different?
This article is copyright
RaceRate.com in 2011 . All rights are reserved. May be copied freely
for personal use and yes you can put it up on your web page providing
this copyright notice stays in tact.